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Livebirth Registrations In Nigeria: Analytical Approach Using Arima Model.

Akomolafe Abayomi.A., Oseghale O.I and Fadiji, Funmilayo A.

Department of Statistics, Federal University of Technology, Akure (FUTA), Nigeria.

E-mail: akomolafe01@yahoo.com, oluwafunmilayoadenike50@gmail.com

Abstract: Livebirth registration is an aspect of civil registration system which is the continuous and compulsory recording of the occurrence and characteristics of vital events in accordance with the legal requirements of a country. Civil registration provides a continuous record of vital events. This paper examines the stationarity in Livebrith registration among the two age – groups and a model was fitted to the age – groups. Data on www.rapidsmsnigeria.org was used. The data were analyzed using R programming language version 3.4.0. Time series analysis was used to analyze and forecast from the data presented. It shows that group Under 1 and Under 5 years are stationary. Only Under 5 years forecast shows that there is a constant in the data and Box – Ljung shows that the residual plots are dependent. It was concluded that there is substantial growth in the registration of live birth in Nigeria despite the instability in the system during the specified period. Also, the Augmented Dickey – Fuller Test (ADF) test and Philip Perron (PP) Test implies that the more negative the test is the stronger is the model. Seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) approach model stands as the best model for prediction based on this series.

[Akomolafe Abayomi. A., Oseghale O.I and Fadiji, Funmilayo A. Livebirth Registrations In Nigeria: Analytical Approach Using Arima Model. J Am Sci 2021;17(3):1-9]. ISSN 1545-1003 (print); ISSN 2375-7264 (online). http://www.jofamericanscience.org. 1. doi:10.7537/marsjas170321.01.

Keywords: Live birth, Time series, Nigeria, Civil Registration system, ARIMA model

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An Economic Study of the Quantitative Losses of Rice Crop in Dakahlia governorate

Elhusseini A. E. Elnefili and Emad-Eldin A. Elsherbini

Senior Researcher, Regional Studies Research Department, Agricultural Economic Research Institute, Agricultural Research center, Egypt.

E. Mail: drnefili@yahoo.com

Abstract: The main objectives of the study were to, estimate the physical and financial losses in rice in Dakahlia governorate, determinate factors responsible for losses and suggest ways to reduce them, and reached to that, the total quantitative production loss of rice for the whole governorate was estimated at about 327.5 thousand tons, at rate of about 23.3% of the governorate's total production of rice, to which the losses due to, not adopting recommended techniques, infection of diseases, pests and weeds, during harvest contributed by 45.2%, 46%, 8.9% respectively. The total marketing loss of rice in the governorate was estimated at about 89.5 thousand tons, transportation loss, storage loss and processing loss contributed by about 8%, 32.3%, 59.7% respectively. The consumption loss of rice was estimated at about 82.9 thousand tons. The total quantitative loss of rice in Dakahlia governorate was estimated at about 499.9 thousand tons, with a value of about 133.5 million dollars, production, marketing and consumption losses contributed by about 65.5%, 17.9%, 16.6% respectively. The total water loss in the governorate as a result of the rice loss was estimated at 980.7 million m³.

[Elhusseini A. E. Elnefili and Emad-Eldin A. Elsherbini. An Economic Study of the Quantitative Losses of Rice Crop in Dakahlia governorate. J Am Sci 2021;17(3):10-23]. ISSN 1545-1003 (print); ISSN 2375-7264 (online). http://www.jofamericanscience.org. 2. doi:10.7537/marsjas170321.02.

Key words: Rice, Quantitative, Losses, Dakahlia.

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Forecasting the Trend of Taiwan Stock Price by Using of Deep Learning Techniques

Yi-Lang Ye¹; Shen Cherng¹; Hsien-Chiao Teng²; Ke-Yu Lee^1*

¹Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, Chengshiu University

Niaosong, Kaohsiung City, Taiwan, ROC

²Department of Electrical Engineering, ROC Military Academy,

Fengshan, Kaohsiung City, Taiwan, ROC

*Corresponding author email: k0085@gcloud.csu.edu.tw

Abstract: In recent years, the stock market TWSE in Taiwan has been growing quickly. The explanatory factor of predicting stock price seems hard to be recognized. However, the forecasting trend of stock price is significant in time series, even though too many confounding factors may affect the forecasting. This study presents a framework to predict the trend of TWSE. The deep learning via Decision Tree and Random Forest is proposed for the analysis. The results demonstrated that stock prices of top twenty domestic companies can be forecasted with the accuracy of 63%.

[Yi-Lang Ye; Shen Cherng; Hsien-Chiao Teng; Ke-Yu Lee. Forecasting the Trend of Taiwan Stock Price by Using of Deep Learning Techniques. J Am Sci 2021;17(3):24-27]. ISSN 1545-1003 (print); ISSN 2375-7264 (online). http://www.jofamericanscience.org. 3. doi:10.7537/marsjas170321.03.

Key Words: A\Deep Learning; Decision Tree; Random Forest; TWSE

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Preparation and Characterization of Composite Fruit Leather of Peach and Tomato

Hira Ijaz¹*, Manazza Ayub², Ayesha Waqar¹, Atka Afzal³, Khadija Kausar¹, Ali Akbar Gill⁴, Komal Rehman¹

¹National Institute of Food Science and Technology, University of Agriculture, Faisalabad, Pakistan

²Erciyes University, Department of Food Engineering, Talas yolu 38039, Melikgazi, Kayseri, Turkey

³Institute of Home and Food Science, Government College University Faisalabad, Pakistan

⁴State key Laboratory of Food Science and Technology, Jiangnan University, Wuxi, Jiangsu, China National

Corresponding author’s Email Address: itshiraijaz1996@gmail.com

Abstract: In human diet fruits play a very important role and are very good for health due to their beneficial effects and great nutritional value. Peach and tomato have high nutritional content and are very favorable for the growth, treatment of various diseases and for maintaining good health. Shelf-life and nutritional value of fruits can be preserved by making different products that contained low moisture content and preservation of fruits by dehydration is the best method to preserve fruit. Fruit leather is a meticulous produce which are made by using the puree of the fruits (like apple, mango, peach, tomato etc.) and are eaten as snack food. In present study, composite fruit leather, with improved nutritional value, was produced by using peach and tomato puree. The physicochemical analysis of fruit leather including proximate, TSS, pH, color, TPC and lycopene content were carried out. There was increase in moisture and fat content of leather and there was decrease in amount of ash. The pH and TSS of samples was decreased from 4.04 to 3.29 and 13.00 to 9.87 from T0 to T5. Results showed high TPC and antioxidant activity in all treatments. There was also observed increase in lycopene content in all the treatments ranging from 0.14 to 5.59. Sensory evaluation shows that the control is the most liked treatment. Thus, the results indicated that by incorporating tomato puree it is possible to improve nutritional quality and improved lycopene content of composite leather.

[Hira Ijaz, Manazza Ayub, Ayesha Waqar, Atka Afzal, Khadija Kausar, Ali Akbar Gill, Komal Rehman. Preparation and Characterization of Composite Fruit Leather of Peach and Tomato. J Am Sci 2021;17(3):28-35]. ISSN 1545-1003 (print); ISSN 2375-7264 (online). http://www.jofamericanscience.org. 4. doi:10.7537/marsjas170321.04.

Key words: Fruits Leather Peach Tomato Lycopene

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Evaluating the Use of Groundwater Salinity/Sodicity on Soil Fertility and Their Impact on Sustainable Salt Tolerance in Wheat and Maize Species

Muhammad Khalid Rasheed², Ashfaq Ahmad Rahi², Shahzada Munawar Mehdi¹, Ahmad Nadeem², Rehmat. Ullah¹, Aftab Ahmed Sheikh¹

¹Directotate of Soil Fertility Survey & Soil Testing Institute, Thokar Niaz Baig, Lahore

²Soil and Water Testing Laboratory, Multan

rahisenior2005@yahoo.com

Abstract: Taxonomic diversity of understorey vegetation (herb species) was studied in two evergreen forests, viz. oak and pine in the Kumaun Himalaya. In terms of taxonomic diversity, Asteraceae and Lamiaceae were the two dominant families in the sampling forest types. Maximum number of species was found at hill base and minimum at hill top in both the forests. The number of families, genera and species ratio observed for pine forest was of course higher with compared to the oak forest showed about the higher taxonomic diversity. Perennials form had higher contribution as compared to annuals forms indicated better ability to store up soil. Very few species (9 species) were found to be common indicates higher dissimilarity in both type of forests. Species richness (per m2) was higher in the pine forest than the oak forest. A high value of beta-diversity in the oak forest point out that the species composition varied from one stand to another. However, low concentration of dominance value in the pine forest with compare to the oak forest point towards the dominance, which is shared by many species.

[Rasheed MK., Rahi AA., Mehdi SM,  Nadeem A,  Ullah R, Sheikh AA. Evaluating the Use of Groundwater Salinity/Sodicity on Soil Fertility and Their Impact on Sustainable Salt Tolerance in Wheat and Maize Species. J Am Sci 2021;17(3):36-46]. (ISSN: 1545-1003). http://www.americanscience.org. 5. doi:10.7537/marsjas170321.05.

Keywords: Species richness; beta-diversity; taxonomic diversity; forest

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-Assessment of Biodiversity Conservation & Restoration of Khajjiar Wetland, Chamba (H.P)

Pawan K. Attri

Institute of Integrated Himalayan Studies

 (UGC-centre of excellence)

 H. P. University Summerhill, Shimla, (H.P) India

dr_pk@rediffmail.com

Abstract : The present study was undertaken from 2009 to 2011 in order to understand the current status of wetlands in district Chamba. The study was conducted in Khajjiar wetland and its catchments area for biodiversity. Repeated visits were made to the field to record the flora and vegetation of the area. In India, majority of the wetlands are badly affected and some of them are even highly threatened or on the verge of extinction mainly due to anthropogenic interventions. The remaining wetlands also threatened by air and water pollutants, and hydrologic alterations. Natural wetlands in India consist of high altitude Himalayan lakes. According to International importance, there are 25 Ramsar sites in India out of them 3 wetlands in the State of Himachal Pradesh have been declared as wetlands of international importance. The Khajjiar wetland is one of important lake although it is not an international importance. It is important because of socio-cultural and ecological values and services it provides. Presently lake is under threat due to anthropogenic pressures. The problem is further accentuated because of loss of water quality data, ecological services, information etc. Thus it is necessary to reclaim and develop the wetlands for its optimum potential use, for this a reliable and accurate data base is required. Therefore, present study endeavour aimed to generate data base in terms of socio-cultural and ecological aspects i.e. physical aspects / land use, extent of water spread and its water quality, vegetation status of catchments area and surrounding of lake and to determine the importance of these wetlands for the local people and to give an indication of the distribution of the benefits among various stakeholders. [Pawan K. Attri. Assessment of Biodiversity Conservation & Restoration of Khajjiar Wetland, Chamba (H.P) . J Am Sci 2021;17(3):47-56].(ISSN:1545-1003).http://www.jofamericanscience.org.6. doi:10.7537/marsjas170321.06.

Keywords: Khajjiar Wetland, Chamba, Biodiversity, Himachal

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Promote Higher Order Thinking Skills in Designing Interface

Glaret Shirley Sinnappan¹, Saedah Siraj², Raja Maznah Raja Hussain², Mohammad Fairus Hamdan¹

^1. Dean’s Office, Faculty of Education, University of Malaya, 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

^2. Department of Curriculum and Instructional Technology, Faculty of Education, University of Malaya, 50603 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

glarety@um.edu.my, saedah@um.edu.my, rmaznah@um.edu.my, mhmmdfairus@yahoo.com.my

Abstract: Higher Order Thinking (HOT) skills encourage three cognitive domains which are the analysis, synthesis and evaluation thinking domains. In designing Interface HOT skills, it requires learners to analyze, synthesize and evaluate students’ design decisions. Activities such as recognizing design claims, examining usability problems, pointing out usability problems required specific analysis skills. Choosing significant features and functions for the non-working prototype, incorporate alternative design ideas and propose design suggestions requires synthesis thinking skills. Whereas evaluation thinking is needed to justify the prototype, defend the modification and evaluate peer’s design. The “Prototype Valuation System (PROVAS)” was used to explore the HOT skills in designing Interface. This research will present the findings on how PROVAS was used by a group of 14 diploma students in a private higher education institution in Malaysia which has encouraged HOT skills in designing Interface. Data were collected from online observation, student’s journal and heuristic evaluation. The findings have indicate that PROVAS can encourage HOT skills in designing Interface.

[Glaret Shirley S, Saedah S, Maznah R.H, Fairus H: Promote Higher Order Thinking Skills In Designing Interface. J Am Sci 2021;17(3):57-63]. (ISSN: 1545-1003). http://www.jofamericanscience.org.7. doi:10.7537/marsjas170321.07.

Keywords: Higher Order Thinking Skills, Interface Design, Higher Learning

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Friction stir welded joint aluminum alloy H20-H20 with different type of tools Mechanical properties

Omid Ali Zargar

Department of mechanical engineering - Jawaharlal Nehru technological university Hyderabad Kukatpally, Hyderabad-500085, Andra Pradesh India

omid.alizargar@gmail.com

Abstract :In this project we will using three type of tools, straight cylindrical, taper cylindrical and triangular tool all made of High speed steel (Wc-Co)   for the friction stir welding (FSW) aluminum alloy H20 –H20 and test the mechanical properties of the welded joint by tensile test and vicker hardness test finally compare mentioned  mechanical properties  and make conclusion. the result will help choosing the welding parameter or welding parameter optimization in different type of process and materials and  different applications.[J Am Sci 2021;17(3):64-79].(ISSN:)http://www.jofamericanscience.org.8. doi:10.7537/marsjas170321.08.

Keywords: friction stir  welding(FSW), tool, CNC  milling machine,  aluminum alloy H20, Vickers hardness test, Tensile test, straight cylindrical tool, taper cylindrical tool, triangular tool.

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Studies on adsorption of crystal violet dye from aqueous solution onto  calligonum comosum leaf powder (CCLP)

Ghadah  Alsenani

Department of Chemistry, Science College, Princes Nora University, Riyadh, KSA

ghada-moh@hotmail.com

Abstract: Taxonomic diversity of understorey vegetation (herb species) was studied in two evergreen forests, viz. oak and pine in the Kumaun Himalaya. In terms of taxonomic diversity, Asteraceae and Lamiaceae were the two dominant families in the sampling forest types. Maximum number of species was found at hill base and minimum at hill top in both the forests. The number of families, genera and species ratio observed for pine forest was of course higher with compared to the oak forest showed about the higher taxonomic diversity. Perennials form had higher contribution as compared to annuals forms indicated better ability to store up soil. Very few species (9 species) were found to be common indicates higher dissimilarity in both type of forests. Species richness (per m2) was higher in the pine forest than the oak forest. A high value of beta-diversity in the oak forest point out that the species composition varied from one stand to another. However, low concentration of dominance value in the pine forest with compare to the oak forest point towards the dominance, which is shared by many species.

[Alsenani G. Studies on adsorption of crystal violet dye from aqueous solution onto  calligonum comosum leaf powder (CCLP). J Am Sci 2021;17(3)70-75].(ISSN:1545-1003). http://www.jofamericanscience.org.9. doi:10.7537/marsjas170321.09.

Keywords: Adsorption, Crystal Violet, calligonum comosum leaf powder.

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Evaluating the Organizational Culture and Its Relationship with the Effectiveness (Case Study: Islamic Azad University Region 2)

Hojatollah Derakhshan ¹ Masoud Akbari ²

1. Academic Member, Azad Islamic University, Khalkhal Branch

2 Lecturer in Azad Islamic University, Khalkhal Branch

Abstract Organizational culture is a phenomenon whose application will have a considerable effect on the effectiveness of the organizations; and the failure or success of the organization is largely dependent on the organizational culture. Organizational culture plays a fundamental role in creating the senses of organizational loyalty and commitment. It can lead to a higher or lower efficiency of the organization. The main objective of this research is to identify the effective factors on the organizational culture and the effectiveness of the employees in order to promote the employees' spirit so that they feel commitment to serve the people. This study is a descriptive research. The statistical population of the research includes the employees of Islamic Azad University Region 2. The data of the research has been collected in two methods: library and survey methods. In library method we have used the relevant books, articles, and internet resources, and in survey method we have applied the questionnaire. The findings of the research show that there is a significant relationship between the dependence, creativity, personal initiative, risk- taking, confliction tolerance, management support, and award system on one hand, and the effectiveness on the other hand. [Hojatollah Derakhshan, Masoud Akbari. Evaluating the Organizational Culture and Its Relationship with the Effectiveness (Case Study: Islamic Azad University Region 2). J Am Sci 2021;17(3):76-80]. (ISSN: 1545-1003). http://www.jofamericanscience.org.10. doi:10.7537/marsjas170321.10. 

Keywords: Organizational Culture Effectiveness

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